Institutional Balance Sheet & Market Risk Model

An institutional asset-liability management and market risk reference across multi-tenor cash-flow discounting, key-rate durations, duration gap analysis, and macro yield curve stress testing.
Macroeconomic Stress Scenarios Download Excel Model (.xlsx)
Operating boundary
This is an educational asset-liability management and bank treasury decision reference. It connects discrete multi-tenor cash-flow discounting, two-sided numerical key-rate duration sensitivity ladders, economic surplus capitalization, and net interest spread income into an inspectable, auditable system.
Benchmark Yield Curve Shocks by Tenor (bps)
1Y Rate Shock0 bps
3Y Rate Shock0 bps
5Y Rate Shock0 bps
7Y Rate Shock0 bps
10Y Rate Shock0 bps
Valuation & Spread Shocks (bps)
Asset Credit Spread Shock (Valuation)0 bps
Asset Earned Yield Shock (Income)0 bps
Funding Cost Shock (Expense)0 bps
Table-First Data Flow: Adjusting any slider recalculates the Multi-Tenor Ledger Table in real time, which directly feeds all headline KPIs, SVG curves, and KRD bars.
Economic Surplus ($M)
$100.0M
Base: $100.0M (0.0%)
Economic Surplus Ratio
10.0%
Capital Cushion (S / Asset PV)
Annual Spread Income
$26.5M
Base: $26.5M (0.0%)
Duration Gap / DV01
-0.38y
Base: -0.38y | Surplus DV01: +$37.5K/bp
Asset Market Value
$1,000.0M
Dur: 4.88y | C: 35.4
Liability Value
$900.0M
Dur: 5.84y | C: 47.1
Net Interest Spread
2.25%
Earned: 6.25% - Fund: 4.00%
Risk Status
STABLE
Yield & Asset Discount Curves
Stressed Net Tenor KRD Exposure ($M / bp)
Executive Risk Diagnosis & Attribution
Primary Risk Driver
Balanced positioning / no material stress
Attribution: $0.0M impact
Secondary Driver / Dominant Tenor
Secondary exposure minimal
Dominant Tenor: None
Next Analyst Investigation
Re-verify asset credit spread assumptions and monitor benchmark yield curve shifts.
Multi-Tenor Cash Flow & Valuation Ledger Click to toggle tabular breakdown
Tenor Benchmark Rate (r*f) Asset Discount (r*A) Asset CF (CF_A) Liab CF (CF_L) Stressed Asset PV Stressed Liab PV Net Tenor Surplus Asset KRD Liab KRD Net Sens. ($M/bp) Tenor P&L
Model Assumptions & Baseline Register
AssumptionBaseline ValueUnitClassRationale & ALM Intuition
Asset Economic Value$1,000.0M$ MillionsExposure BaseStandard institutional tranche size ($1M = 10 bps).
Liability Ratio0.90 ($900M)RatioCapital Structure10.0% capital cushion ($100M surplus).
Asset Credit Spread125 bpsBasis PointsCredit SpreadInvestment-grade spread added to benchmark curve.
Asset Earned Yield6.25%PercentageAccounting YieldContractual annual cash earned yield.
Funding / Liability Cost4.00%PercentageFunding CostWeighted annual funding and crediting expense.
Asset Duration4.88 yrsYearsEffective DurationIntermediate cash-flow weighting (30% in 5Y).
Liability Duration5.84 yrsYearsEffective DurationLong-dated obligation profile (50% in 7Y-10Y).
Mathematical Specifications & Derivations
1. Discrete Cash-Flow Reconstruction & Baseline Parity
CFA(t) = A0 · wA,t · (1 + rA,t)t where rA,t = rf,t + sA
Reconstructs discrete annual coupon and principal cash flows from maturity weights wA,t (∑ w = 1.0) and tenor discount yields. Guarantees PVA = A0 = $1,000.0M and PVL = L0 = $900.0M at baseline by construction.
2. Effective Duration & Convexity (Two-Sided Central Difference)
Deff = − PV(r + h) − PV(rh) 2 · PV(r) · h (first derivative / price sensitivity)
C = PV(rh) + PV(r + h) − 2 · PV(r) PV(r) · h2 (second derivative / curvature)
Two-sided 1 bp central difference finite perturbation (h = 0.0001 = 1 bp). Evaluates price sensitivity and curvature across non-parallel yield curve shocks without assuming flat curves.
3. Signed Surplus DV01 & Balance Sheet Sensitivity
DV01S = DV01LDV01A = +$37.5K / bp where DV01 = PV · Deff · 0.0001
Dollar sensitivity per 1 bp rate shift: DV01A = $48.8K/bp, DV01L = $52.5K/bp. Because liability duration exceeds asset duration (5.84y vs 4.88y), parallel rate increases discount liabilities faster than assets, expanding economic surplus (+ sign).
4. Net Interest Income (NII) & Spread Income Separation
NII = A0 · yAL0 · cL = ($1,000M × 6.25%) − ($900M × 4.00%) = +$26.5M/yr
Disentangles mark-to-market economic valuation from annual accrual income. Captures the divergence where rate cuts inflate asset valuations but compress spread margins.
Interview Talking Points & Defensibility

Valuation vs Earnings: In a rate cut scenario, asset market values rise (improving solvency), but spread income collapses (damaging operating margin). This model captures both lenses.

Why Negative Duration Gap Matters: Liabilities have longer duration than assets (5.84y vs 4.88y). Rate hikes discount liabilities faster than assets, expanding surplus.

KRD Curve Twist: Parallel duration masks curve shape risk. KRD reveals significant 10Y liability exposure that buffers bear steepeners.

Export & Audit Verification
Live Formula-Driven Excel Model Available: The repository includes a full 6-tab audit-ready workbook (Institutional_Balance_Sheet_Market_Risk_Model.xlsx) with live formulas (SUM, PV, SUMPRODUCT, 1 bp bump ladder) matching this web engine byte-for-byte.
Click an export button above to inspect or download state...